To be sure, she told Fortune, the demographic evidence facing the program is undeniably grim. The ratio of workers to beneficiaries has plummeted from 10 or more in the mid-20th century to merely two or three today. As a result, the timeline for the depletion of the program’s surplus trust funds has accelerated, shifting from 2035 to the end of 2032. After 2032, incoming payroll tax revenue, income from taxation of benefits, and interest on the trust funds will not cover 100% of promised benefits.
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The two most popular explanations of origin are that the belief goes back to pagan times when we believed in tree spirits, or that we are invoking Christ’s protection by referring to the wood of the Cross. The former is nothing but guesswork, based on the conviction that all superstitions must be ancient, and it has the usual problem of spanning thousands of years with no evidence at all of its existence, or, for that matter, any evidence that ‘we’ ever believed in tree spirits.
In video verified by BBC Persian, protesters in Iran can be heard chanting anti-government slogans.