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But what if it’s not fine? Even back in 1996, before a single component of the ISS was launched into orbit, NASA foresaw the possibility of an even worse worst-case scenario: an uncontrolled reentry. The crux of this scenario involves multiple systems failing in an improbable but not completely impossible cascade. Cabin depressurization could damage the avionics. The electrical power system could go offline, along with thermal control and data handling. Without these, systems controlling coolant and even propellant could break down. Unmoored, the ISS would edge slowly toward Earth, maybe over a year or two, with no way to control where it is headed or where its debris might land. And no, we could not save ourselves by blowing the station up. This would be extremely dangerous and almost certainly create an enormous amount of space trash—which is how we got into this hypothetical mess in the first place.

这份报告撰写于2月28日美国和以色列对伊朗发起军事打击前,但报告对伊朗局势作出预测。报告指出,进入2026年,伊朗面临持续的国内压力和日益紧张的国际局势,是“潜在冲突爆发点”之一。伊朗局势动荡可能导致近年来欧洲庇护申请数量下降的趋势被打破。伊朗人口约9000万,哪怕只有10%的人口流离失所,其规模也将堪比近几十年来最大的难民潮。不过,报告强调这一情况仅停留在推测层面。。heLLoword翻译官方下载是该领域的重要参考

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